Friday, September 14, 2007

Conspiracy Theories

"If there is no evidence, it means the conspiracy is working."

In general, I don't believe conspiracy theories. Usually this is becuase they seem to me far less likely than the official explanation.

"Stupidity is much more common than evil."

I'm also amazed at the ability of many of the theories to cherry-pick one thing and claim that it "proves" there was a conspiracy, without being able to offer a coherent explanation of that thing themselves.

I think the thing that is most commonly forgotten by the conspiracy theorists is that people are lousy observers, closely followed by the inevitable variability of life. Almost no-one has a watch that is actually within a minute of the time set by the naval observatory. Almost no complex assembly is built precisely to spec and with all its parts.

"And in this exclusive footage you can clearly see the driver turn around and shoot Kennedy."

I'm also frequently puzzled about the motivation for most of the conspiracy theories out there. Why did all these people go to so much trouble to create a cover up? Sure, you can fake almost anything if you try hard enough and have enough resources. But what's in it for you? Yes, people often do things for no apparent rational reason, but conspiracies by definition require the cooperation of many people, and not usually from the chaotic sections of society.

"We can't even cover up the fact that the president got a blow job in the oval office, and someone thinks we can cover up alien autopsies?"

This is not to say that I don't believe that there have been conspiracies, in fact there are some I do believe. But don't waste your time trying to convince me NASA faked the Apollo moon landings,

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