Wednesday, November 10, 2010

"Contrail" off California

The Official Words is that it is (probably) a contrail. A full bird colonel has made a statement (nearly 24 hours after the first report) that the matter is under investigation and that it certainly wasn't a non-US launch.

Now, if the matter is still under investigation, how can anyone be sure that it WASN'T someone else? I can see being sure it wasn't a US launch (we counted all our missiles and we've still got them all), or a plane (we examined the video and it clearly is/isn't a plane)...

I am not, as I think all two or three of my loyal readers will accept, a member of the Tinfoil Hat crowd. However, some things bother me about this.

1. That doesn't look like a contrail to me. I've spent most of my life looking up when I hear a loud noise, and quite a bit of it watching things flying overhead. I am not, as previously noted, a rocket scientist, but I know that delta-V = Ve * ln (R). That looks exactly like a rocket/missile launch to me.

2. No one has shown a nice, enhanced frame from that video that shows an airplane. Contrails make it easy to spot aircraft because they point you right where to look. No one has said "it is a contrail - see? You can tell its a 747/C-17/etc."

3. It took WAY too long for the contrail story to pop up. Again, no claims to be a rocket scientist here, but contrails have been photographed and video'ed from every angle known to man. Why does it take the infinite monkeys of the internet nearly 24 hours to come up with a near-match to the image that's a contrail when only hours after the event comparison imagery taken of rockets was being put up that was much closer to the actual video of the event?

Note that I'm not crediting media sources here, but bboards and fora. IMO most reporters couldn't tell the difference between an airplane and a rocket if they were both sitting side by side on the ground in front of them. The internet, however, is full of actual rocket scientists (in addition to a lot of people who claim to be but aren't), pilots, and anti-aircraft specialists. Most of the credible posters I know said "missile" or "rocket" when they first saw the video. All the contrail reports come from 'official' sources (which took far too long to check in), and media outlets.

At this point, I'm leaning towards "missile/rocket" and more than a little upset that we are once again being lied to, probably 'for our own good.'

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